Monday, March 9, 2015

The Great Crash 1929 by Galbraith: Chapter 9 - "Cause and Consequence"

Summary        

Gross National Product 1920-1940
        After the Great Crash, came the Great Depression. With the Gross National Product a third less than 1929 and production remaining below 1929, people hoped to return to the 1929 but the conditions between 1930 to 1940 continued to culminate into a depth of severity. 
        Initial issues involved assessing the cause of the depression. Some speculated the lack of credit and some contemplated the rate of interest, but much concentration was directed to faith. Professor Dice observed that people no longer look upon the cardinals of industry as benevolent leaders. Such feelings of trust were believed to be fundamental for a boom. Furthermore, an abundance of savings was viewed as essential for prosperity. However the ensuing collapse 
automatically destroys the very conditions that conduce such results. Despite such predictions, the causes were still viewed with uncertainty. Some skeptics believed that depression was inevitable because the extent of time in which it occurred or that there was an inevitable rhythm to which depression must follow. Neither of these dubious beliefs can be seriously supported. A plausible explanation was the notion that the economy required an occasional rest.
Major Causes of the Great Crash of 1929

        However, more efforts were devoted in revealing the reasons the economy continued to remain low for a full decade. Some believed that production had outrun consumer and investment demand as corporations misjudged the prospects of consumers. As a result, businesses curtailed their inventory and invested insufficient amounts, failing to keep pace with the steady increase in profits. Others pinpointed the bad distribution of income. With a third of the America's income dispensing into 5%, the economy was dependent on a high level of investment or luxury consumer spending from the elites. Furthermore, structures of corporations were corrupted with openings for swindlers, frauds, and impostors. 
         On the other hand, some deemed the actual infrastructure of the bank. There was implicit weakness with the chain reaction banks faced. When one bank failed, the assets of the other failed like a domino effect. Others took a more honest approach with the poor state of economic intelligence. As Hoover announced a cut in taxes, he requested business firms to keep up their capital investment and maintain wages. However, tax reductions were negligible except to higher income brackets and maintaining wages and investments only occurred as long as they were not financially disadvantageous. Furthermore, a commitment to a balanced budget meant a drastic reduction in government expenditures, which led to the limitation of efforts to increase low interest rates, plentiful credit, and smooth borrowing of funds.
Great Crash of 1929

John Kenneth Galbraith
         As a result, the Great Crash of 1929 manifested quite a few far reaching effects. With the collapse of securities, the wealthy are the first to take hit and expenditures to support the economy are abandoned. Furthermore, the weakness of corporations are exploited and the people suffer from a sense of utter hopelessness. As a economic historian, Galbraith asserts that the task of him and this book is only to address what happened in 1929. And it is that misfortune awaits those who presume to believe that the future is revealed to them, and that capitalism is indeed a threat. 


Analysis
        The theme presented in the chapter aligns with work, exchange, and technology, and specifically with economic values and the role of the government in affecting society. As a result of the Great Crash of 1929, economic values are shifted more into becoming aware of possibilities of overproduction of goods and cautiousness of over speculation of stocks. Furthermore, the government is less liberal for Laissez Faire Capitalism and devoted more into expenditures for the economy's well being.
        A time period which is similar to the chapter is Period 7: 1890-1945 (Key Concept: 7.1-I.C)
Despite credit and market instability with the uneven distribution of wealth, over speculation of stocks, and over production of goods, a stronger financial regulatory system arises with leaders such as Hoover.


Citations
"A Case of Unemployment." The Great Depression. Accessed March 14, 2015. 
    http://ingrimayne.com/econ/EconomicCatastrophe/GreatDepression.html.
"Biographical Profiles: John Kenneth Galbraith." - John F. Kennedy Presidential Library 
   & Museum. Accessed March 14, 2015. http://www.jfklibrary.org/Research/Research-
   Aids/Ready-Reference/Biographies-and-Profiles/John-Kenneth-Galbraith.aspx.
Galbraith, John Kenneth. "Cause and Consequence" In The Great Crash, 1929
    168-194. Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1955.
Mugey, Admin. "A Brief History Lesson: The Great Stock Market Crash of 1929, 82 
    Years Ago Today. » Mugsy's Rap Sheet." A Brief History Lesson: The Great Stock 
    Market Crash of 1929, 82 Years Ago Today. » Mugsy's Rap Sheet. October 29, 2011. 
    Accessed March 14, 2015. http://mugsysrapsheet.com/2011/10/29/a-brief-history-
    lesson-the-great-stock-market-crash-of-1929-82-years-ago-today/.
"Speculation Great Depression - Viewing Gallery." Speculation Great Depression - 
    Viewing Gallery. Accessed March 14, 2015.

The Great Crash 1929 by Galbraith: Chapter 7 - "Aftermath I"

Summary        

Ivar Kreuger
        However, as the Great Crash of 1929 began to worsen, the organized support was futile, and with such cataclysm came the advent of multiple suicide waves. With the stock market crash, life was no longer worth living as depicted with the substantial increase in suicides. Broken speculators began being consort with propensities for self-destruction. 
        Unfortunately, newspapers merely seized on suicides to evince that people were reacting appropriately to their misfortunes. Stories of violent self-destruction began to appear in the papers with some regularity with instances such as jumping from a window, diving into water, and taking gas. Suicides that received much attention were that of J.J. Riordan and Ivar Kreuger.

Union Industrial Bank
Flint, Michigan
        However, the effect of the crash on the embezzlement was more significant than that on the suicide. Embezzlement, in simple terms, is the shifting of stocks in a inconspicuous manner. The crime begins as the embezzlement is undiscovered due to conducive conditions. However, as the rate of embezzlement grows, it shrinks as depression appears and money is watched with a narrow, suspicious eye. The stock market exaggerated the normal relations of this process. People began exceptionally trusting and transitioned to extraordinarily dubious. Such reports are evident in the defaulting of employees as daily occurrences and looting of the Union Industrial Bank of Flint, Michigan.
Short Selling
        The crash, needles to say, was mortal. Unfortunates were revealed in their misery and the crash exposed the corrupt speculators. However, with such morality, came the last efforts at reassurance. The New York Stock Exchange began an investigation of the short selling of Jesse L. Livermore, who was believed to be driving the market down. Simultaneously, the Wall Street Journal complained that abundance of short selling and the egregious market. However, nothing came of Livermore's study.
President Hoover
         A more important effort at reassurance was conducted by President Hoover. At the time the general index of the industrial production was falling. As a result, Hoover announced to cut the taxes of the individuals and corporations by one full percentage. Such drastic reductions may at sight have seemed insignificant, but it revived a ambience of confidence. Furthermore, Hoover conducted one of the oldest, most important rites in America. He conducted the no business meetings. Such meetings were held to transact no business but merely just to relay ideas, coined as the exchange of ideas justification. They were a practical expression of laissez faire and a device for simulating action, when action is impossible. Such efforts by Hoover compensated for the influx of suicides and embezzlements but prospects of future continued to look bleak.

Analysis
        The theme depicted in this chapter aligns with work, exchange, and technology, and specifically how the growth of corporate power influences economic policies. With the previous growth of the holding companies and the corporations in the New York Stock Exchange, economic policies are now transformed to give the advantage to individuals in the capitalist market. Self prosperous actions such as embezzlements and short selling are conducted by corporations and people like Union Industrial Bank of Flint, Michigan and Jesse L. Livermore. 
        A time period which is similar to the chapter is Period 7: 1890-1945 (Key Concept: 7.1-I.C)
With credit and market instabilities such as the embezzlements and the short selling, call to a stronger financial regulatory system was taken up by Hoover. With the advent of the traditional no business meetings, Hoover devised the methods of taking action when action was impossible.

Citations
"Buy Postcards - Union Industrial Bank Building, Flint, Michigan 1943 - BidStart (item 
     25557598 in Postcards : United States : Michigan : Flint)." Union Industrial Bank 
     Building, Flint, Michigan 1943. Accessed March 14, 2015. 
     http://postcards.bidstart.com/Union-Industrial-Bank-Building-Flint-Michigan-1943-
     /25557598/a.html.
Galbraith, John Kenneth. "Aftermath I" In The Great Crash, 1929
    128-143. Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1955.

"Ivar Kreuger." Wikipedia. Accessed March 14, 2015. 
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ivar_Kreuger.
Rothbort, Scott. "How Short Selling Works." TheStreet. October 8, 2007. Accessed 
    March 14, 2015. http://www.thestreet.com/story/10383365/1/how-short-selling-
    works.html.
"United States Presidential Election, 1928." Wikipedia. Accessed March 14, 2015. 
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1928.